Updated USDA Projections for 2018 and 2019 U.S. Egg Production

02/20/2019

The USDA Economic Research Service issued an updated forecast of egg production on February 14th, the first since the Federal shutdown. The volume of eggs produced and per capita consumption in 2019 were increased by 1.7 and 0.4 percent respectively compared to revised 2018 data. Consistent with this disparity, the benchmark New York price was reduced by 9.4 percent in unit value Production data reflecting 2016 and 2017 should be compared to 2015, that was impacted by the Spring outbreak of HPAI in the upper-Midwest. The latest data is reflected in the table below.

 

 

Parameter

2015

(actual)

2016

(actual)

2017

(actual)

(actual)2018 (forecast) 2018 Diff % 2018 to 2019
 

EGGS

       
 

Production (m. dozen)

6,938*

7,435

7,677

7,834 7,970 +1.7%
 

Consumption (eggs per capita)

255.8*

271.6

276.3

278.8 279.8 +0.4%
 

New York price (c/doz.)

182*

86

101

138 125 9.4%

Source: Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Outlook -February 14th 2019

*Impacted by Spring 2015 HPAI outbreaks. Consumption in 2014, 267 eggs per capita

Subscribers to EGG-NEWS are referred to the postings depicting weekly prices, volumes and trends and the monthly review of prices and related industry statistics.














































































































































































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