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Ukraine Exports And Projected 2022 Harvest Impacted By Invasion

08/16/2022

Exports of agricultural commodities from Ukraine will be approximately half the level of the previous 2021/2022 season at 2.65 million metric tons.  During the last season ending June 30th, exports attained 48.5 million metric tons with high volumes shipped before the February 24, 2022 invasion by the Russian Federation.

 

Exports resumed in late July at a relatively low level with 948 thousand metric tons exported during the first half of August.  For the comparable 15 days of August 2021, Ukraine exported 1.88 million metric tons.

 

The 2022 harvest comprising all grains and oilseeds will probably attain 50 million metric tons compared to 86 million metric tons in 2021.  The difference is due to disruption of planting and cultivation as a result of shelling, mining and interdiction of supplies of seed and fertilizer.  Many farmers were unable to plant crops and are currently participating in military operations as citizen volunteers.