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AEB Circulates Nielsen Statistics for December 2022

03/03/2023

Egg-NewsThe American Egg Board (AEB) circulates Nielsen retail sales data as a service to the industry. The latest report released March 1st reflected 52-week rolling sales and consumption of eggs and egg products for the period ending December 31st 2022.  Nielsen data captures a proportion of retail volume and sales value of shell eggs, consumer-packed liquid and hard-boiled peeled eggs. Data is derived from supermarkets, groceries, Dollar outlets, drug and convenience stores all with annual sales in excess of $2 million. Some club warehouses provide data but Costco is excluded.

 

The data assembled by Nielsen and distributed by the AEB for the past 52-weeks through the end of 2022 documented sales of 3,139 million dozen egg-equivalents in all retail presentations over the 52-week period. This represents 40.7 percent of potential egg production updated on February 8th by the USDA for calendar 2022 totaling 7,719 million dozen eggs contributing to shell, liquid and exports. According to USDA data the shell-egg segment of the industry comprised 69.2 percent of all U.S. hens held for egg production over 2022.

 

  • For the 52-week period in 2021-2022, retail sales of all shell-egg categories (shell, consumer liquid, hard boiled) all expressed as egg-equivalents was constant despite higher prices.  Dollar value was 47.8 percent higher to $9,787 million. Assumed per capita consumption in 2022 attained 277.5 eggs representing a 1.1 percent decrease from the 2021 period as a result of flock depletion due to HPAI but with depressed sales during 2021 as a result of COVID restrictions. Direct price comparisons are distorted by the late March and April 2020 panic buying in response to COVID and unprecedented price rises in the third and fourth quarters due to HPAI. Projected per capita consumption in 2023 will rise to 289 eggs in all forms

 

  • On a rolling 52-week basis, the volume captured by Nielsen comprising retail shell-egg sales attained 3,013 million egg-equivalent dozens. Shell egg value at retail was $9,258 million with an average 2022 unit value of $3.07 per dozen. Egg alternatives including liquid, frozen and powdered egg products converted to equivalent dozens attained 90.5 million dozen equivalents, a 4.2 percent decrease over the previous 52-week period but with a 6.9 percent increase in value to $325.5 million corresponding to a unit value of $3.60 per dozen. Rolling 52-week hard-boiled peeled egg sales attained 35.9 million dozen, with a 4.6 percent increase in volume and a disproportionate 25.7 percent increase in value to $203.1 million compared to the previous 52-week period reflecting unit price of $5.66 per dozen in 2022.

Egg-News

  • In classifying retail sales by product segment, conventional  (caged) eggs represented 72.9 percent and cage-free 17.6 percent. Free-range and pastured combined amounted to 9.6 percent. This figure is however based on loose and inconsistent definitions of these categories of housing with evident deficiencies in capture of sales data. Rolling 52-week conventional (non-organic) egg sales decreased 8.8 percent in volume but were 50.8 percent higher in value.

 

  • The report indicated that 7.0 percent of shell eggs were marketed under the USDA Certified Organic seal almost unchanged in volume but 57.6 percent in value.

 

 

  • With respect to volume of other than generic shell eggs, 52-week rolling branded egg sales comprised 30.2 percent of retail sales compared to 69.8 percent for private label.  Branded eggs generated 37.9 percent of dollar value compared to private label at 62.1 percent.  Branded eggs increased by 3.9 percent in volume and 35.0 percent in value over the past 52 weeks.

 

  • In analyzing retail channels for shell eggs, 2022 values compared to 2021 documented that sales by supermarkets and groceries (57.5 percent of sales volume) decreased by 2.6 percent, drugstores (0.1 percent of sales) lower by 38.1 percent, convenience stores (1.1 percent of sales volume) were down by 4.4 percent and the combination of club stores and dollar stores (41.2 percent, excluding Costco, an important deletion given their volume) increased by 4.4 percent presumably with the largest contribution from big-box club stores other than Costco.

 

  • Average retail price during December 2022 was $4.22 per dozen compared to $1.98 per dozen in December 2021.

 

  • Egg servings at QSRs during the 4th quarter of 2022 increased by 8 percent

 

  • LEAP Analytics projected an egg-producing flock of 330 million at the end of December 2023 (307 million from the Egg Industry Center model) with 122 million hens in other than conventional cages.

 

  • The LEAP projections for wholesale Midwest Large were $1.50 per dozen in June 2023 and $1.30 in December 2023. These values assume restoration of flock size in the absence of flock depletion due to HPAI